2026 Castilian-Leonese regional election
15 March 2026
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All 82 seats in the Cortes of Castile and León 42 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 2,097,768[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Constituency results map for the Cortes of Castile and León | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A regional election will be held in Castile and León on Sunday, 15 March 2026, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 82 seats in the Cortes will be up for election.
Overview
Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Castile and León are the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[3]
Electoral system
Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Castile and León and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[4][5][6] Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish: Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[7] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[8]
The Cortes of Castile and León are entitled to three seats per each multi-member constituency—corresponding to the provinces of Ávila, Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid and Zamora—plus one additional seat per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500. All members are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency.[4][9] The use of the electoral method may result in a higher effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[10]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency is entitled the following seats:[11]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 15 | Valladolid |
| 13 | León |
| 11 | Burgos |
| 10 | Salamanca |
| 7 | Ávila, Palencia, Segovia(+1), Zamora |
| 5 | Soria |
The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.[12][13]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Castile and León expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the scheduled date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.[4][14][15] The previous election was held on 13 February 2022, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 13 February 2026. The election decree shall be published in the BOCYL no later than 20 January 2026, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 15 March 2026.[16][17]
The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Castile and León and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution.[14][18] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[19]
In January 2023, it was commented that regional president Alfonso Fernández Mañueco could try to reset the electoral cycle to make it coincide with the 2023 Spanish local elections on 28 May that year,[20][21] this was ruled out by Mañueco himself.[22] Further speculation surfaced with the advancement of the 2023 Spanish general election to 23 July,[23] but the regional government ultimately rejected it.[24] In late 2024, it emerged that Mañueco was considering to call a snap election in the event of being unable to get his 2025 budget passed through parliament—following Vox's decision to exit the cabinet earlier that year[25]—but this was rejected by Mañueco in December 2024,[26] as well as another round of speculation following a party crisis in Vox that saw the resignation of Juan García-Gallardo as regional leader in February 2025.[27] On 16 September 2025, the regional government confirmed that the election would most likely be held on 15 March 2026—the latest possible date in which it could legally be held—except in the event of a snap general election being called earlier by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, in which case both would be held concurrently.[28][29][30] After the confirmation on 27 October 2025 of a snap regional election in Extremadura for 21 December, Mañueco ruled out a concurrent electoral call and insisted that his plan was still to hold the Castilian-Leonese election in March 2026.[31][32] 15 March was confirmed as the election date on 14 January 2026, a few days before the scheduled dissolution of parliament.[33][34]
The Cortes of Castile and León were officially dissolved on 20 January 2026 with the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOCYL, setting election day for 15 March and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 14 April.[11]
Outgoing parliament
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[2][35]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 31 | 31 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 28 | 28 | ||
| Vox Castile and León Parliamentary Group | Vox | 11 | 11 | ||
| Leonese People's Union– Soria Now! Group |
UPL | 3 | 6 | ||
| SY | 3 | ||||
| Mixed Group | Podemos | 1 | 3 | ||
| XAV | 1 | ||||
| IzqEsp | 1[g] | ||||
| Non-Inscrits | INDEP | 2[h] | 2 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[38][39] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[40]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
Timetable
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[56]
- 19 January: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the president, after deliberation in the Regional Government.[11]
- 20 January: Formal dissolution of parliament and start of prohibition period on the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
- 23 January: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions with judicial members.
- 26 January: Division of constituencies into polling sections and stations.
- 30 January: Deadline for parties and federations to report on their electoral alliances.
- 2 February: Deadline for electoral register consultation for the purpose of possible corrections.
- 9 February: Deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to present electoral lists.
- 11 February: Publication of submitted electoral lists in the Official Gazette of Castile and León (BOCYL); deadline for parties, federations, alliances, and groupings of electors to communicate their presidential candidates for the purpose of electoral debates.
- 16 February: Official proclamation of validly submitted electoral lists.
- 17 February: Publication of proclaimed electoral lists in the BOCYL.
- 18 February: Deadline for the selection of polling station members by sortition.
- 26 February: Deadline for the appointment of non-judicial members to provincial and zone electoral commissions.
- 27 February: Official start of electoral campaigning.[11]
- 5 March: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
- 10 March: Start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication; deadline for non-resident citizens (electors residing abroad (CERA) and citizens temporarily absent from Spain) to vote by mail.
- 11 March: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voting.
- 12 March: Deadline for CERA voting.
- 13 March: Last day of electoral campaigning.[11]
- 14 March: Official election silence ("reflection day").
- 15 March: Election day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote); provisional vote counting.
- 20 March: Start of general vote counting, including CERA votes.
- 23 March: Deadline for the general vote counting.
- 1 April: Deadline for the proclamation of elected members.
- 14 April: Deadline for the reconvening of parliament (date determined by the election decree, which for the 2026 election was set for 14 April).[11][14]
- 11 May: Deadline for the publication of definitive election results in the BOCYL.
Campaign
Election debates
The electoral law of Castile and León provided for the presidential candidates of the parties having a parliamentary group in the Cortes to participate in, at least, two leaders' debates to be held during the electoral campaign.[57] The debates were scheduled to be held on 3 March in RTVE (then moved to 5 March to prevent it from conflicting with the 2025–26 Copa del Rey semi-finals) and 10 March in RTVCyL, with the candidates of the three main parliamentary groups: PP, PSOE and Vox.[58][59] UPL and SY appealed the decision to exclude them from the debates (despite having a parliamentary group of their own) to the Central Electoral Commission.[60]
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present[i] S Surrogate[j] NI Not invited I Invited A Absent invitee | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | PSOE | Vox | Audience | Ref. | |||
| 5 March | RTVE | TBD | I Mañueco |
I Martínez |
I Pollán |
||
| 10 March | RTVCyL | TBD | I Mañueco |
I Martínez |
I Pollán |
||
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 42 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Castile and León (41 in the 2022 election).
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 1] | 1–15 Feb 2026 | 1,244 | ? | 33.4 32 |
27.9 28 |
20.1 16 |
3.9 0 |
– | 4.8 3 |
0.9 1 |
0.9 1 |
4.0 1 |
[k] | 2.0 0 |
5.5 |
| CIS[p 2][61] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | ? | 33.4 28/38 |
32.3 26/35 |
16.1 11/19 |
3.1 0/1 |
– | 4.9 2/4 |
0.7 0/1 |
0.7 0/1 |
5.1 0/4 |
[k] | 0.8 0 |
1.1 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 3] | 15 Jan–8 Feb 2026 | 1,228 | ? | 38.2 35 |
29.4 27 |
18.5 13 |
4.0 1 |
– | 4.5 3 |
1.0 2 |
0.8 1 |
1.3 0 |
[k] | – | 8.8 |
| SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica[p 4][p 5] | 25 Nov–1 Dec 2025 | 7,510 | 64.2 | 32.1 28/34 |
28.1 23/27 |
20.5 14/20 |
4.1 0/2 |
3.3 1 |
4.3 3 |
1.7 3 |
1.2 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 4.0 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 6] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | ? | 36.7 35 |
31.4 27 |
17.1 13 |
4.3 1 |
– | 3.9 3 |
1.0 2 |
? 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 5.3 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 7] | 26 Sep–9 Oct 2025 | 1,000 | 55.6 | 37.8 35/37 |
29.6 27/29 |
14.4 8/9 |
6.9 2 |
– | 5.0 3 |
1.1 2 |
0.6 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 8.2 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 8] | 28 Jun–28 Jul 2025 | 1,375 | ? | 43.4 41 |
33.9 29 |
10.4 5 |
3.0 1 |
0.6 0 |
2.7 2 |
0.9 2 |
0.8 1 |
[m] | 2.5 0 |
– | 9.5 |
| Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 9] | 27 May–7 Jun 2025 | 2,700 | ? | 36.7 35/38 |
30.1 27/30 |
13.2 8 |
7.9 3/4 |
– | 4.9 3 |
0.9 1/2 |
0.5 0/1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 6.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 10] | 16–31 May 2025 | 450 | ? | ? 39 |
28.6 24 |
? 10 |
? 1 |
– | ? 4 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 11] | 9–25 Apr 2025 | 1,223 | ? | 36.8 36/38 |
29.2 27/28 |
13.2 8/9 |
7.1 2/3 |
0.3 0 |
3.7 3 |
1.0 1/2 |
0.8 0/1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 7.6 |
| NC Report/La Razón[p 12] | 15–18 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 59.7 | 42.1 41/43 |
29.3 25/27 |
12.7 7/9 |
– | 0.5 0 |
4.6 3/4 |
1.4 2 |
1.0 0/1 |
[m] | 3.3 1 |
– | 12.8 |
| Data10/Okdiario[p 13] | 15–17 Jul 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 42.3 41 |
30.8 26 |
9.3 8 |
3.2 0 |
1.2 0 |
4.4 3 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 11.5 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | N/a | 51.5 | 44.6 (46) |
30.5 (28) |
10.5 (7) |
2.4 (0) |
0.8 (0) |
– | 0.6 (0) |
– | [m] | 2.9 (0) |
4.0 (0) |
14.1 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 14] | 26 Aug–26 Sep 2023 | 1,375 | ? | 40.4 37 |
36.1 32 |
8.6 4 |
6.7 2 |
4.8 1 |
2.7 2 |
1.1 2 |
0.8 1 |
[l] | [l] | – | 4.3 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | N/a | 69.4 | 41.5 (39) |
32.3 (28) |
13.8 (9) |
[m] | – | 1.6 (1) |
0.7 (1) |
0.5 (0) |
[m] | 7.0 (3) |
– | 9.2 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 15] | 14 Dec–17 Jan 2023 | 741 | ? | 35.1 32 |
31.8 32 |
12.0 9 |
5.5 2 |
5.8 1 |
3.6 2 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[l] | – | – | 3.3 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía[p 16] | 14 Sep–29 Oct 2022 | 587 | ? | 33.6 31 |
32.0 31 |
13.5 11 |
5.4 2 |
5.6 1 |
3.6 2 |
1.2 2 |
1.0 1 |
[l] | – | – | 1.6 |
| 2022 regional election | 13 Feb 2022 | N/a | 58.8 | 31.4 31 |
30.0 28 |
17.6 13 |
5.1 1 |
4.5 1 |
4.3 3 |
3.2 3 |
1.1 1 |
[l] | – | – | 1.4 |
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SALF | Lead | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 2] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 13.0 | 2.3 | – | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3.7 | [k] | 0.6 | 16.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| CIS[p 17] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 1,067 | 24.0 | 30.7 | 6.1 | 2.2 | – | 1.6 | 0.2 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 23.9 | 4.0 | 6.7 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | N/a | 24.5 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | – | 0.3 | – | [m] | 1.6 | 2.2 | N/a | 44.5 | 7.8 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | N/a | 30.7 | 23.8 | 10.2 | [m] | – | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | [m] | 5.2 | – | N/a | 25.6 | 6.9 |
| 2022 regional election | 13 Feb 2022 | N/a | 19.7 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | [l] | – | – | N/a | 36.6 | 0.8 |
Victory preferences
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SALF | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 2] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 29.1 | 28.8 | 13.5 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 10.5 | 0.3 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 2] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 79.0 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 72.8 |
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.
- All candidates
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Tudanca PSOE |
Martínez PSOE |
Hierro Vox |
Pollán Vox |
Llamas Podemos |
Gallego UPL |
Ceña SY |
Pascual XAV |
Gascón IU | ||||||
| CIS[p 2] | 6–13 Feb 2026 | 8,039 | 28.1 | – | 22.2 | – | 10.0 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 11.8 | 17.7 | 5.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 6] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 19.8 | – | 19.7 | – | 12.3 | 5.4 | – | – | 0.5 | – | 35.9 | 0.1 | |
| CIS[n][p 17] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 1,067 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 9.1 | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 | 60.6 | 4.8 |
- Mañueco vs. Martínez
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Martínez PSOE | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 6] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 38.5 | 33.7 | – | 27.7 | 4.8 |
Predicted President
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president of the Regional Government of Castile and León.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mañueco PP |
Martínez PSOE | ||||||
| SocioMétrica/El Español[p 6] | 6–9 Oct 2025 | 1,200 | 51.8 | 17.7 | – | 30.6 | 34.1 |
| Sigma Dos/RTVCyL[p 9] | 27 May–7 Jun 2025 | 2,700 | 68.5 | 15.5 | – | – | 53.0 |
Voter turnout
The table below shows registered voter turnout on election day, without including non-resident citizens.
| Province | Time | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | 14:00 | 18:00 | 20:00 | ||||||||||
| 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | 2022 | 2026 | +/– | ||
| Ávila | 11.90% | 34.85% | 52.63% | 63.95% | |||||||||
| Burgos | 11.25% | 35.09% | 51.06% | 62.80% | |||||||||
| León | 10.01% | 32.00% | 48.54% | 60.16% | |||||||||
| Palencia | 11.24% | 34.76% | 52.41% | 64.95% | |||||||||
| Salamanca | 11.70% | 34.84% | 51.01% | 62.74% | |||||||||
| Segovia | 12.24% | 35.75% | 53.31% | 64.98% | |||||||||
| Soria | 12.21% | 36.16% | 51.97% | 65.80% | |||||||||
| Valladolid | 11.90% | 37.21% | 55.06% | 66.80% | |||||||||
| Zamora | 10.70% | 32.25% | 48.87% | 60.80% | |||||||||
| Total | 11.31% | 34.73% | 51.62% | 63.44% | |||||||||
| Sources | |||||||||||||
Results
Overall
![]() | ||||||
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | ||||||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | ||||||
| Vox (Vox) | ||||||
| We Can–Green Alliance CyL 2026 (Podemos–AV)1 | n/a | |||||
| United Left, Unite Movement, Greens Equo: In Common (IU–MS–VQ)1 | n/a | |||||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | ||||||
| Leonese People's Union (UPL) | ||||||
| Soria Now! (SY) | ||||||
| For Ávila (XAV) | ||||||
| Municipalist Burgalese Way (VBM)2 | ||||||
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)3 | ||||||
| Empty Spain (España Vaciada)4 | ||||||
| Castilian Party–Commoners' Land (PCAS–TC) | ||||||
| Coalition for El Bierzo (CBierzo) | ||||||
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | ||||||
| For a Fairer World (M+J) | ||||||
| Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL) | ||||||
| Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | ||||||
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) | ||||||
| Let's Go Palencia (VP) | New | |||||
| The Party is Over (SALF) | New | |||||
| Nine Castile and León (NueveCyL) | New | |||||
| Forward Proyect (PAlantre) | New | |||||
| Nationalist Party of Castile and León–Citizen Reformist Union (PANCAL–URCI) | New | |||||
| Spanish Food Sovereignty (SAE) | New | |||||
| Blank ballots | ||||||
| Total | 82 | +1 | ||||
| Valid votes | ||||||
| Invalid votes | ||||||
| Votes cast / turnout | ||||||
| Abstentions | ||||||
| Registered voters | 2,097,768 | |||||
| Sources | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | Vox | Podemos | IU–MS–Q | Cs | UPL | SY | XAV | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Ávila | ||||||||||||||||||
| Burgos | ||||||||||||||||||
| León | ||||||||||||||||||
| Palencia | ||||||||||||||||||
| Salamanca | ||||||||||||||||||
| Segovia | ||||||||||||||||||
| Soria | ||||||||||||||||||
| Valladolid | ||||||||||||||||||
| Zamora | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total | ||||||||||||||||||
| Sources | ||||||||||||||||||
Notes
- ^ UPL does not field candidates outside of León (13 seats), Salamanca (10 seats) and Zamora (7 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
- ^ a b Within the EV–SY alliance in the 2022 election.
- ^ SY does not field candidates outside of Soria (5 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
- ^ a b c Within the Unidas Podemos alliance in the 2022 election: Podemos (1 seat) and IU (0 seats).[2]
- ^ XAV does not field candidates outside of Ávila (7 seats) and Valladolid (15 seats) and therefore cannot obtain a majority in parliament.
- ^ a b Cs did not field a single candidate for the post of president of the Regional Government of Castile and León nor did have a visible single leader of the candidacy, on the basis of it being a "collective project".
- ^ Francisco Igea, former CS legislator.[36]
- ^ Ana Rosa Hernando and Javier Teira, former Vox legislators.[37]
- ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- ^ Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
- ^ a b c d Within IU.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Within Unidas Podemos.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Within Sumar.
- ^ Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "ElectoPanel CyL (16 feb): Mañueco baja y quedaría en manos de un Vox que supera el 20%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 16 February 2026.
- ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2026. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León (Estudio nº 3545. Febrero 2026)". CIS (in Spanish). 20 February 2026.
- ^ "ElectoPanel CyL (9 feb): Mañueco lejos de la absoluta con un Vox más fuerte". Electomanía (in Spanish). 9 February 2026.
- ^ "Encuesta autonómicas 2026: El PP aumenta su diferencia con el PSOE en Castilla y León pese al crecimiento de Vox". La Nueva Crónica (in Spanish). 9 December 2025.
- ^ "[A] CASTILLA Y LEÓN. Encuesta SyM Consulting 09/12/2025: PP 32,1% (28/34), PSOE 28,1% (23/27), VOX 20,5% (14/20), UPL 4,3% (3), PODEMOS 4,1% (0/2), CS 3,3% (1), SY 1,7% (3), XAV 1,2% (1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 December 2025.
- ^ a b c d "El PP de Mañueco sube 5 puntos y 4 escaños: le bastaría la abstención de Vox para seguir gobernando en Castilla y León". El Español (in Spanish). 11 October 2025.
- ^ "Mañueco se acerca a la absoluta, pero seguiría necesitando a Vox para ser investido". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 October 2025.
- ^ "ElectoPanel CyL (31 jul): Mañueco se queda en la absoluta raspada". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 July 2025.
- ^ a b "El PP podría gobernar en solitario en Castilla y León con pactos puntuales o en coalición". RTVCyL (in Spanish). 17 June 2025.
- ^ "Macroencuesta autonómica (I): corrupción y cloacas arrasan el poder territorial del PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 2 June 2025.
- ^ "Mañueco quintuplica la distancia con el PSOE en la primera gran cita electoral a la vista". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 May 2025.
- ^ "Vuelco electoral de Mañueco, que lleva al PP a la mayoría absoluta en Castilla y León". La Razón (in Spanish). 29 July 2024.
- ^ "El Partido Popular obtendría la mayoría absoluta en Castilla y León tras la ruptura con Vox". Okdiario (in Spanish). 18 July 2024.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Castilla y León: PP y Vox perderían hoy la Junta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 28 September 2023.
- ^ "EP Castilla y León (17E): bajada de Vox, que pierde dos procuradores". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 January 2023.
- ^ "EP (Castilla y León 31oct): PP y PSOE en empate técnico, baja Vox. La derecha mantiene la mayoría, muy ajustada". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 October 2022.
- ^ a b "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
- Other
- ^ "Elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León de 15 de marzo de 2026" (in Spanish). National Statistics Institute. 23 January 2026. Retrieved 24 January 2026.
- ^ a b Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones a Cortes de Castilla y León (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 October 2025.
- ^ Statute (2007), arts. 20 & 24.
- ^ a b c Statute (2007), art. 21.
- ^ LECyL (1987), art. 2.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3.
- ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Archived from the original on 31 August 2021. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
- ^ Araque Conde, Pilar (8 June 2022). "El Congreso acaba con el voto rogado: diez años de trabas burocráticas para los residentes en el extranjero". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 31 July 2022.
- ^ LECyL (1987), arts. 18–20.
- ^ Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Dublin: Trinity College Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
- ^ a b c d e f Decreto 1/2026, de 19 de enero, del Presidente de la Junta de Castilla y León, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Castilla y León (PDF) (Decree 1/2026). Official Gazette of Castile and León (in Spanish). 19 January 2026. Retrieved 20 January 2026.
- ^ LECyL (1987), arts. 21 & 26.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 46 & 48.
- ^ a b c LECyL (1987), art. 16.
- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 42.
- ^ "'Lío' electoral en Castilla y León: el PP aclara que el 15 de marzo de 2026 es la "fecha límite" para convocar elecciones". Demócrata (in Spanish). Agencias. 16 September 2025. Retrieved 10 December 2025.
- ^ Cervilla, Paloma (11 January 2026). "Mañueco, al límite para convocar elecciones en Castilla y León y que se celebren en marzo". The Objective (in Spanish). Retrieved 11 January 2026.
- ^ Statute (2007), arts. 21, 27 & 37.
- ^ Statute (2007), art. 26.
- ^ Carreño, Ángel (18 January 2023). "El adelanto electoral en Castilla y León, una jugada de alto riesgo para el PP". El Independiente (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ García de Blas, Elsa (19 January 2023). "Feijóo lleva al máximo la tensión con Vox y deja en sus manos la decisión de romper el Gobierno en Castilla y León". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ García de Blas, Elsa (23 January 2023). "Mañueco mantendrá a Gallardo y no adelantará las elecciones". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ Ramos, Felipe (29 May 2023). "El PP no descarta adelantar las elecciones en Castilla y León para hacerlas coincidir con las generales de Pedro Sánchez". Diario de Castilla y León (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ Ramos, Felipe (30 May 2023). "Mañueco desactiva el adelanto electoral en Castilla y León". Diario de Castilla y León (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ Lamet, Juanma (10 December 2024). "El PP ya abre la puerta de elecciones en primavera en Castilla y León y Baleares". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
- ^ "Mañueco no contempla adelantar elecciones y presentará los presupuestos cuando tenga los "apoyos necesarios"" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. Ical. 6 December 2024. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
- ^ "Mañueco descarta adelantar elecciones en Castilla y León pese a la dimisión de García-Gallardo y la crisis de Vox". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Valladolid. 3 February 2025. Retrieved 2 November 2025.
- ^ García de Blas, Elsa (4 August 2025). "Castilla y León y Andalucía adelantarán sus elecciones si Sánchez anticipa las generales". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
- ^ Álvarez, Beatriz (16 September 2025). "Castilla y León irá a las urnas el 15 de marzo de 2026" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. Retrieved 16 September 2025.
- ^ "El PP fija el 15 de marzo de 2026 como "fecha más probable" para las elecciones autonómicas de Castilla y León". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Valladolid. EFE. 16 September 2025. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
- ^ "Mañueco mantiene que el «plan» sigue siendo convocar en marzo «se aprueben o no los presupuestos»". ABC (in Spanish). Valladolid. 27 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025.
- ^ Cornejo, Laura (27 October 2025). "Mañueco se desentiende del superdomingo electoral de Feijóo y asegura que "el plan sigue siendo marzo"". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 27 October 2025.
- ^ Serrador, Montse (14 January 2026). "El 15 de marzo se confirma como la fecha para que Castilla y León acuda a las elecciones autonómicas". ABC (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 14 January 2026.
- ^ Fernández, José Ignacio (14 January 2026). "Castilla y León irá a las urnas el 15 de marzo: Mañueco apura la legislatura y disolverá las Cortes la próxima semana". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 January 2026.
- ^ "El Parlamento. Legislaturas anteriores. XI Legislatura" (in Spanish). Cortes of Castile and León. Retrieved 18 October 2025.
- ^ a b Hurtado, Julio (28 September 2023). "Ciudadanos expulsa a Francisco Igea y le exige que devuelva su acta en Castilla y León". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 September 2023.
- ^ "Vox expulsa de su grupo en CyL a dos procuradores tras pedir primarias" (in Spanish). Valladolid: Europa Press. 31 January 2025. Retrieved 1 February 2025.
- ^ LECyL (1987), arts. 25–26.
- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 44.
- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
- ^ Vargas, Lino (7 January 2025). "Tudanca no seguirá al frente del PSOE-CyL y bendice la candidatura del alcalde de Soria: "Tendrá mi apoyo"". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 January 2025.
- ^ "Carlos Martínez, proclamado secretario regional del PSOECyL". Heraldo-Diario de Soria (in Spanish). Soria. 9 January 2025. Retrieved 10 January 2025.
- ^ "El PSOE oficializa la candidatura de Carlos Martínez, a quien respaldará Pedro Sánchez en León". elDiario.es (in Spanish). EFE. 1 October 2025. Retrieved 1 October 2025.
- ^ González, Miguel (12 July 2024). "PP y Vox consuman su ruptura en los gobiernos autonómicos con la salida de altos cargos del partido ultra". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 12 July 2024.
- ^ Estaire Cabañas, Óscar (18 September 2025). "Vox no elegirá a su candidato en Castilla y León hasta que se convoquen las elecciones: "Será mejor que los de PP y PSOE"". El Español (in Spanish). Valladolid. Retrieved 11 October 2025.
- ^ González, Miguel; Navarro, Juan (9 February 2026). "Abascal confirma al presidente de las Cortes de Castilla y León como candidato a presidir la región". El País (in Spanish). Madrid / Valladolid. Retrieved 9 February 2026.
- ^ "Miguel Ángel Llamas releva a Pablo Fernández al frente de Podemos en Castilla y León". Público (in Spanish). Valladolid. EFE. 28 June 2025. Retrieved 11 October 2025.
- ^ Salvador, Alvar (21 September 2025). "Llamas irá a las primarias de Podemos para presidir la Junta y descarta una coalición con IU: "Es muy improbable"". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 September 2025.
- ^ Estaire Cabañas, Óscar (13 January 2026). "Podemos y Alianza Verde irán juntos a las elecciones de Castilla y León: tienden la mano a IU pero descartan a Sumar". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 January 2026.
- ^ "Sumar, IU y Verdes Equo irán en coalición a las elecciones del 15M en Castilla y León". ABC (in Spanish). Valladolid. 22 September 2025. Retrieved 24 September 2025.
- ^ González, Alexandra (9 December 2025). "IU, Sumar y Verdes-Equo irán en coalición, sin Podemos, a las elecciones de Castilla y León: Juan Gascón será el candidato". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 9 December 2025.
- ^ "Cs se presenta en siete provincias de CyL, sin candidato específico a la Presidencia de la Junta" (in Spanish). Valladolid: Europa Press. 11 February 2026. Retrieved 11 February 2026.
- ^ "Alicia Gallego llega a la Secretaría General de UPL para «dar solución a los problemas de los ciudadanos» frente a «la política de salsa rosa»". Leo Noticias (in Spanish). 14 June 2025. Retrieved 14 June 2025.
- ^ Estaire Cabañas, Óscar (12 January 2026). "Ángel Ceña repite como candidato de Soria ¡Ya! en las elecciones autonómicas de Castilla y León". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 January 2026.
- ^ "Por Ávila confirma a Pedro Pascual por tercera vez como candidato a la Junta de Castilla y León". elDiario.es (in Spanish). EFE. 25 September 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025.
- ^ "15 de marzo de 2026. Elecciones Castilla y León. Calendario electoral" (PDF) (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Castile and León. 21 January 2026. Retrieved 24 January 2026.
- ^ LECyL (1987), art. 31 bis.
- ^ "Los debates electorales de Castilla y León se celebrarán los días 3 y 10 de marzo". ABC (in Spanish). Valladolid. 9 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
- ^ "RTVE celebra el debate electoral en Castilla y León con PP, PSOE y Vox el 5 de marzo" (in Spanish). RTVE. 13 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
- ^ "Soria ¡YA! y UPL presentan un recurso ante la JEC tras ser excluidos de los debates" (in Spanish). Soria: Europa Press. 14 February 2026. Retrieved 16 February 2026.
- ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3543. Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2026. Comunidad Autónoma de Castilla y León)". CIS (in Spanish). 20 February 2026.
Bibliography
- Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5/1985). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 19 June 1985 [version as of 14 July 2025]. BOE-A-1985-11672. Retrieved 5 October 2025.
- Ley 3/1987, de 30 de marzo, Electoral de Castilla y León (Law 3/1987). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 30 March 1987 [version as of 6 July 2017]. BOE-A-1987-9475. Retrieved 5 October 2025.
- Ley Orgánica 14/2007, de 30 de noviembre, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Castilla y León (Organic Law 14/2007). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 30 November 2007 [version as of 11 April 2011]. BOE-A-2007-20635. Retrieved 5 October 2025.
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